New York Showcase Day, Keeneland’s Raven Run Highlight Horse Betting Action

While the top Breeders’ Cup contenders have their final preps in and are putting in their final workouts for racing’s two-day championship event, there is plenty of betting action to keep horseplayers busy this Saturday.

There are seven stakes with over $1 million in purses up for grabs on New York Showcase Day at Belmont Park.

The races are restricted to New York breds and the seven stakes drew large competitive fields that are sure to produce handsome payoffs.

The marquee event is the $250,000 Empire Classic, which drew a field of nine led by the Bill Mott trained Lunar Victory, who has won five of his seven starts since arriving in the U.S.

At Keeneland a full field of 14 will do battle in the $250,000 Raven Run (G2), a seven furlong test for three-year-old fillies.

Gypsy Robin is the 3-1 morning line favorite and is coming off a runner up finish at Saratoga in the test (G1). The Wesley Ward trainee has won all three of her starts over a synthetic surface.

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Get Michael Dempsey full Belmont Park and Keeneland cards, Best Plays Report, and daily free horse racing picks at Pick Shark.

Michael’s Breeders’ Cup Report will be available on Thursday, Nov. 1.

Let’s head out to Keeneland for Saturday’s featured race of the day:

Keeneland Race 9 The Raven Run G2 (5:27 ET)

11 Gypsy Robin   3-1

1 Sweet Cat   6-1

10 Via Villaggio   4-1

7 Anna Sophia   12-1

Analysis: Gypsy Robin is making her first start since a solid runner up finish in the Test (G1) at the Spa on Aug. 25. The winner Contested has not run back but three others have come back to win including sixth place finisher Jazzi Idea, who took the Maryland Million Oaks, and seventh place finisher Book Review, who came back to win the Charles Town oaks in her next start. Our top pick is perfect in three trips over a synthetic surface including breaking her maiden over the poly here in her debut by 7 1/4 lengths, and a win in the Beaumont (G2) here at the spring meeting. She has worked quickly here for her first go off a two month break for the Wesley Ward barn that is off to a god start at the meet, 11 of 21 starters landing in the exacta.

Sweet Cat tracked the early pace and finished up well for the runner up spot last out in the Smart N Fancy at Belmont Park over turf. The winner Madame Giry came back to win the Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes here on Oct. 12. The Todd Pletcher trainee looks primed for a good effort here in her third start of her current form cycle. She has raced only on turf since a runner up finish in the slop in her debut last July, so this will be her first trip over poly. The barn is 28% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from synth to turf, and this gal is by Kitten's Joy out of a Carson City mare and I have a hunch she will handle the fake stuff well.

Via Villaggio ships in from the west coast for the Jerry Hollendorfer barn. The filly chased the early pace and weakened to finish fourth last out in the Zenyatta (G1) going two turns on the main track at Santa Anita. Her last win came in the Railbird (G3) going seven furlongs over a synthetic surface at Holly Wood Park and she is 3 for 5 over the fake stuff. She drilled a bullet before shipping out and the cut back and class drop should suit.

Wagering

WIN: #11 to win at 5-2 or better.

EX: 1,11 / 1,7,10,11

TRI: 1,11 / 1,7,10,11 / 1,6,7,10,11,14

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