Keeneland Wagering: Fayette Closes Out Fall Meeting
A field of eleven including Florida Derby (G1) winner Take Charge Indy will meet up at Keeneland on Saturday in the $150,000 Fayette (G2) going nine furlongs on the main track.
The Fayette is the final graded stake of the fall Keeneland meeting, which ends on Saturday. (Check out free horse handicapping contest on this meet).
Take Charge Indy was last seen running 19th in the Kentucky Derby (G1) back in May, with a minor injury sidelining the colt until Saturday.
The Patrick Byrne trainee is the 3-1 morning line favorite, and will break from the five post with jockey Calvin Borel aboard.
Borel has piloted the colt in his last three starts including a win in the Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park in March.
The colt is out of the brilliant mare Take Charge Lady, who won 11 of her 22 starts with career earnings of $2,480,377.
His main challengers figure to be the Todd Pletcher trained Salto (7-2), Washington Park Handicap (G3) winner Middie, and Newsdad (5-1), who returns to poly for the first time in over a year for hall of fame trainer Bill Mott.
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Let’s head out to Keeneland for Saturday’s featured race of the day:
Keeneland Race 9 The Fayette G2 (Post time 5:21 ET)
6 Salto 7-2
5 Take Charge Indy 3-1
8 Middie 5-1
4 Newsdad 5-1
Analysis: Salto ran big in his first start over polytrack, defeating Alw-2 foes by nine lengths here on Oct. 13. The colt was making his fourth start since arriving in the U.S. and landing with the Todd Pletcher barn. He was fifth last fall in the Commonwealth (G3) on turf at Churchill Downs in his first start stateside, and then went on the shelf for eight months. He was fourth at the Alw-2 level off the layoff, then ran a solid second in the Cliff Hangar (G3) on turf, beaten a length by Tune Me In, who returned to finish a decent third in the Knickerbocker (G3) in his next outing on Oct. 13 at Belmont Park. The colt looks as if he still has some upside and has enough pedigree to handle the nine furlongs.
Take Charge Indy makes his first start since fading to finish 19th in the Kentucky Derby (G1). he came out of that race with an ankle issue and returns here for the Patrick Byrne barn that is 3 for 20 with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff dating back five years. The colt won the Florida Derby (G1) two back and has shown he can also handle poly. He broke his maiden over the surface at Arlington Park in his debut and ran second in the Arlington Washington Futurity (G3) in his first start against winners. He was fourth behind Dullahan in the Breeders' Futurity (G1) in his lone go over the Keeneland poly. The colt has been working quickly at Churchill Downs for his return, popping a bullet work on Oct. 17. He figures to be ready to go off the shelf, but I do not want to take much less than his 3-1 morning line to find out for sure.
Middie comes in here razor sharp for the Phil Oliver barn. The gelding won the Washington Park Handicap (G3) two back with a career top speed fig. The third place finisher in that race as Pool Play, who came back to win the Hawthorne Gold Cup (G2) in his next outing on Oct. 6. In his last start Middie beat $100K optional claimers here, and has now won three of his four starts on poly. He is in a capable barn and may fly under the radar in here.
WIN: #6 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 4,5,6,8
TRI: 5,6 / 4,5,6,8 / 1,4,5,6,8
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The contest will give handicappers a good final prep for next week’s Breeders’ Cup Handicapping Contest, which will also be sponsored by Bet America!
Saturday is closing day for the fall Keeneland meeting and the final card features the $150,000 Fayette (G2) for three-year-olds and upward going nine furlongs on the main track.
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