Grassy Offers Betting Value in Hollywood Turf Cup
The Betfair Hollywood Park meeting is winding down, and horseplayers will have plenty of betting action on Saturday with a couple of graded stakes on the menu along with the appearance of Zenyatta’s little sister.
In one of the best wagering races on the day a field of ten will line up in the Grade 2 $250,000 Hollywood Turf Cup, a 1 ½ mile turf event for three-year-olds and upward.
The Grade 1 Hollywood Derby runner up Grandeur is the 5-2 morning line favorite for trainer Patrick Gallagher.
The ninth race on the card will produce a couple of early betting favorites for next spring’s Kentucky Derby. A field of 11 will go to the post in the Grade 1 $750,000 CashCall Futurity.
Hall of fame trainer Bob Baffert, who has won three of the last four runnings of the race, will send out four juveniles.
The morning line favorite is the Todd Pletcher trained Violence (7-2) who ships in from New York off a victory in the Grade 2 Nashua.
Don’t miss the fourth race on the card, a first level allowance optional claiming race. The three-year-old filly Eblouissante, a smashing maiden winner in her debut faces a field of four as the 6-5 morning line favorite.
The John Shirreffs trainee is a half-sister to the great Zenyatta as well as multiple stakes winner Balance.
Let’s head out to Betfair Hollywood Park for Saturday’s betting race of the day:
Betfair Hollywood Park Race 4 The Hollywood Turf Cup G2 (Post time 3:35 PT)
6 Grassy 8-1
4 Grandeur 5-2
7 Bourbon Bay 7-2
3 Slim Shadey 7-2
Analysis: Grassy looks like the value of the race here if he goes off near his 8-1 morning line. The six year old is coming off a good effort in the Breeders' Cup Marathon (G2) on dirt where he came with a good five wide rally to get into the mix but was no match for the winner late over a racing strip that was kind to inside speed. He finished behind a couple of these two back when fourth in the John Henry Turf Classic (G2), which was his second start off a long layoff. He is a five time winner on turf and while winless in four starts at the distance does have a second and a couple of thirds.
Grandeur takes on older here after making a strong late run to finish in the runner up spot in the Hollywood Derby (G1). The gelding won his U.S. debut two back, taking the Twilight Derby (G2) despite stumbling out of the gate, going from last to first. He has landed in the exacta in eight of his 11 career starts and looks primed for a good effort here in his third start since arriving in the U.S. He looks as if he will relish the extra ground.
WIN: Grassy to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 3,4,6,7
TRI: 4,6 / 3,4,6,7 / 3,4,6,7,10
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Michael’s Aqueduct Report includes his selections, analysis, fair odds line, and wagering recommendations. Michael has been handicapping the New York circuit on a daily basis for nearly three decades.