Free Saratoga Pick Friday July 27
Ever So Lucky is coming off a visually impressive victory against Alw-2L foes at Delaware Park, drawing clear to win by 7 ½ lengths. His lone poor outing came two back where he was a well beaten tenth in the Blue Grass (G1) in his first start on polytrack. [ Get Michael Dempsey full Saratoga card and daily free horse racing picks when you visit him ]
Saratoga Race 8 The Curlin (Post time 6:22 ET)
2 Ever So Lucky 3-1
4 Reload 5-1
3 Street Life 5-2
5 Easter Gift 7-2
The colt showed promise form the beginning, breaking his maiden in his debut, and then the hall of fame Jonathan Sheppard barn put him right into stakes company where he ran a good second in the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) behind Gemologist, who went on to win his next two starts including the Wood Memorial (G1). Our top pick then went to the bench until March where he returned off the layoff and ran a decent third behind Trinniberg, who came back to win a couple of stakes since, the Bay Shore (G3) and the Carry Back (G3). The colt has some early zip and there is not a ton of pace in here. He also has the pedigree to handle nine furlongs, by Indian Charlie out of a Summer Squall mare.
Reload steps up into stakes company for the first time in his career here for the Shug McGaughey barn. Last out the colt was checked and off to a tardy start and made a good late rally to come up just a neck short of beating Alw-1 foes in his first go against winners. The colt still appears to have a ton of upside and he looks more than capable of handling the stretch out to nine furlongs. He is out of the stakes winner Hidden Reserve ($204K) who has dropped a couple of talented runners in Philanthropist ($266K) and Defer ($260K).
Street Life is making his first start since coming with a mild wide rally to finish fourth in the Belmont (G1), beaten 7 ½ lengths. The late running colt is the lone stakes winner in the field, taking the Broad Brush back in March at Aqueduct on the inner track in his first start against winners. Two back he made a good late run to finish third in the Peter Pan (G3). He may appreciate the two turns here but the Spa main track tends to be kinder to runners closer to the front that this guy will be. The colt has been working well and is in good hands with the Chad Brown barn, which is using this race as a prep for the Travers (G1) next month.
WIN: Ever So Lucky to win at 2-1 or better.
EXACTA: 2,4 / 2,3,4,5
TRIFECTA: 2,4 / 2,3,4,5 / 1,2,3,4,5
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